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TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 12
Typhoon #EgayPH (DOKSURI)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 24 July 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 AM today.
TYPHOON EGAY UNDERGOES RAPID INTENSIFICATION AS IT MOVES OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.
Location of Center (4:00 AM):
The center of the eye of Typhoon EGAY was estimated based on all available data at 565 km East of Baler, Aurora (15.3°N, 126.9°E)
Maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 170 km/h, and central pressure of 965 hPa
Present Movement: Westward at 15 km/h
Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 600 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, the rest of Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Apayao, Kalinga, Abra, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, the northern portion of Pangasinan (Natividad, San Nicolas, San Quintin, Sison, Pozorrubio, San Manuel, San Fabian, Anda, Bolinao, San Jacinto, Manaoag, Laoac, Binalonan, Asingan, Tayug, Santa Maria, Umingan, Dagupan City, Mangaldan), Aurora, the northern and eastern portions of Nueva Ecija (Carranglan, Bongabon, Gabaldon, Pantabangan, Lupao, San Jose City), the northern and southeastern portions of Quezon (Pitogo, San Andres, Buenavista, San Francisco, Calauag, Infanta, Lopez, Catanauan, Mulanay, Guinayangan, Unisan, General Luna, Plaridel, Quezon, Alabat, Padre Burgos, Macalelon, Mauban, General Nakar, Perez, Agdangan, Gumaca, Atimonan, Real, San Narciso, Tagkawayan) including Polillo Islands, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, the rest of Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, and Masbate
Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar and Biliran
TCWS No. 2
Wind threat: Gale-force winds
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
The southeastern portion of Isabela (Palanan, Dinapigue) and northeastern portion of Catanduanes (Pandan, Bagamanoc, Panganiban, Viga, Gigmoto)
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Forecast accumulated rainfall today
•50-100 mm: Catanduanes, the northeastern portion of Camarines Sur, and the northern portion of Camarines Norte
Forecast accumulated rainfall tomorrow
•Above 200 mm: The northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan
•100-200 mm: The rest of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, the western portion of Abra and the northern portion of Apayao
•50-100 mm: Batanes, the northern and eastern portions of Isabela, the rest of Apayao, the rest of Abra, Kalinga, the western portion of Mountain Province, Benguet, La Union, and the western portion of Pangasinan
Forecast accumulated rainfall on Wednesday
•Above 200 mm: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and Ilocos Norte
•100-200 mm: The northern portion of mainland Cagayan, Apayao, Abra, and Ilocos Sur,
•50-100 mm: The rest of mainland Cagayan, Kalinga, the western portion of Mountain Province, Benguet, La Union, and Pangasinan.
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are highly likely especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
In addition, EGAY may also enhance the Southwest Monsoon, bringing occasional to monsoon rains over the western portions of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas in the next three days. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory #3 for Southwest Monsoon issued at 11:00 PM yesterday and the 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast and Outlook at 4:00 AM today.
Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No. 2 are in effect. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are also possible within any of the areas where Wind Signal No.1 is hoisted. Current forecast scenario shows that the highest wind signal that may be hoisted will be Wind Signal No. 4 or 5 (e.g., typhoon-force wind threat).
EGAY and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon may also bring gusty conditions over the following areas not under any Wind Signal, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
•Today: CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Visayas, and the northern portions of Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, and Caraga.
•Tomorrow: Luzon, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, and the northern portion of Northern Mindanao and Dinagat Islands.
•Wednesday: Luzon and Visayas.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
Under the influence of EGAY, a Gale Warning is in effect over several
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